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Trader profile

FallenMan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$66KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded387Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.8% / $95% interval −200.9% to +123.3%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−38.8%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$104.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
56
Showing the largest 8 of 56
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusek
Julia Stusek · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg6.9¢Current0¢20,579.99Shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg56.4¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$140Avg7¢Current0¢1,999.95Shares
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi
Benjamin BonziValue$0PnL−$732Avg14.7¢Current0¢4,971.83Shares
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedic
Andrej Nedic · NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg42¢Current0¢3,999.99Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$115Avg23¢Current0¢500Shares
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan
Yue Yuan · NoValue$0PnL−$880Avg44¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan Manuel La Serna · NoValue$0PnL−$11Avg12¢Current0¢93.04Shares
Showing 8 of 56 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet FallenMan: edge −38.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −200.9%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−38.8% over 40 fills); −$66K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-20.