PolyTrace
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Trader profile

belsky-srt1

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$11.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$105.2K94 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded29Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.5% / $95% interval −367.5% to +336.4%15 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−12.6%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$311
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$311PnL−$116Avg62.6¢Current45.5¢682.51Shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg51¢Current0¢588.24Shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$8.5KAvg33.6¢Current0¢25,277.48Shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg39.2¢Current0¢2,553.42Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg55¢Current0¢2,122.56Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg0.3¢Current0¢4,168.32Shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg26.7¢Current0¢1,123.45Shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg64.6¢Current0¢1,548.87Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet belsky-srt1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −15.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −367.5%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−12.6% over 14 fills); −$11.1K lifetime P&L, $105.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.