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Trader profile

thecraggy

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$35KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$980K228 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded150Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.7% / $95% interval −17.4% to +14.0%129 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.6%n=127 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$88.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
Team Liquid · NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg44.2¢Current0¢6,792.02Shares
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
GamerLegionValue$0PnL−$3KAvg37.1¢Current0¢8,093.4Shares
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
FaZe · YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg55.6¢Current0¢8,768.03Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3.4KAvg49.8¢Current0¢6,791.6Shares
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Fonseca
Tsitsipas · YesValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg43.3¢Current0¢6,178.71Shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$9.8KAvg61.7¢Current0¢15,905.13Shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$9.9KAvg38.5¢Current0¢25,599.36Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
Team Resilience · NoValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg44.2¢Current0¢6,104.82Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet thecraggy: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −1.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −17.4%, n=129 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.6% over 127 fills); −$35K lifetime P&L, $980K traded, updated 2026-09-23.