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Trader profile

alexdave888

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$825.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.5%1,155 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$22.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded945Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.7% / $95% interval −47.4% to +21.9%1,059 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−12.3%n=1,048 settled
Unmapped
−24.7%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.5% · Decided 1,155 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0.60
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.4M
Concentration
36.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
665
Showing the largest 8 of 665
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tatjana Maria · YesValue$0.22PnL+$0.14Avg38.4¢Current100¢0.22Shares
BNK FEARXValue$0.19PnL+$0.12Avg35.7¢Current100¢0.19Shares
BNK FEARXValue$0.19PnL+$0.10Avg48¢Current100¢0.19Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4KAvg38.3¢Current10,450.15Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg31.7¢Current8,950.21Shares
Bilibili GamingValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg39¢Current4,964.49Shares
Inner Circle · YesValue$0PnL−$800Avg29.6¢Current2,703.58Shares
FUT Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$7.7KAvg31¢Current24,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 665 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet alexdave888: 37.5% win rate over 1,155 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.4%, n=1,059 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.3% over 1,048 fills); −$825.3K lifetime P&L, $22.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.