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Trader profile

themmaguru

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 14 settled so far0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$192.5K45 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded25Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.0% / $95% interval −47.1% to +57.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)
Punahele Soriano · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg31.1¢Current0¢9,644.63Shares
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg12¢Current0¢833.33Shares
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Elisha Ellison · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg10¢Current0¢3,006.46Shares
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)
Dan Hooker · YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg19.8¢Current0¢12,657.03Shares
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Tai Tuivasa · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg17.4¢Current0¢11,495.53Shares
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg3.3¢Current0¢151.52Shares
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)
Reinier de Ridder · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg33.2¢Current0¢6,031.25Shares
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Junior Tafa · YesValue$0PnL−$700Avg28.6¢Current0¢2,446.29Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet themmaguru: edge +5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.1%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.0% over 20 fills); +$12.3K lifetime P&L, $192.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.