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Trader profile

IbnKhaldun

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.3%206 settled · past 180 days45 open · 82% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded354Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.3% · Decided 206 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$4.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.4K
Concentration
10.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
88
Showing the largest 8 of 88
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will AI solve Legendre's conjecture in 2026?
NoValue$505PnL+$105Avg75¢Current94.7¢533.33Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$473PnL+$25Avg64¢Current67.5¢700Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$459PnL+$19Avg84¢Current87.5¢525.06Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$450PnL−$650Avg11¢Current4.5¢10,000Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$361PnL−$729Avg12.7¢Current4.2¢8,599.93Shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
NoValue$228PnL−$2Avg87.1¢Current86.5¢263.98Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
NoValue$208PnL+$6Avg84¢Current86.5¢240Shares
Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?
NoValue$189PnL+$47Avg71¢Current94.5¢200Shares
Showing 8 of 88 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet IbnKhaldun: 58.3% win rate over 206 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$12.5K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.