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Trader profile

HolyMoses7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$155.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.8%309 settled · past 90 days143 open · 50% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$21.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded262Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.7% / $95% interval −46.3% to +36.9%26 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−4.8%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.8% · Decided 309 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$201.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.6K
Concentration
83.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
177
Showing the largest 8 of 177
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$168.7KPnL+$84.2KAvg50¢Current99.9¢169,000Shares
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$384Avg93.7¢Current98.6¢7,947.7Shares
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$1.6KAvg14.8¢Current29.6¢10,849.22Shares
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$133Avg84¢Current88.5¢2,953.99Shares
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$173Avg67¢Current62¢3,458.29Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$872Avg16.2¢Current27.5¢7,721.17Shares
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$128Avg84.5¢Current90.5¢2,144.61Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$203Avg27.3¢Current31.5¢4,794Shares
Showing 8 of 177 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HolyMoses7: 52.8% win rate over 309 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −46.3%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−4.8% over 25 fills); +$155.5K lifetime P&L, $21.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.