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Trader profile

Themanwiththewig420

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$21.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$153.1K54 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded25Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.0% / $95% interval −274.8% to +198.8%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−38.0%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.6K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$150Avg22¢Current681.82Shares
Mexico · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg47¢Current2,127.66Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$301Avg38.3¢Current785.87Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$418Avg24¢Current1,741.67Shares
Portugal · YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg34.1¢Current6,873.59Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$125Avg24¢Current520.83Shares
Norway · YesValue$0PnL−$380Avg35.5¢Current1,070.42Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg22¢Current454.55Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Themanwiththewig420: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −38.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −274.8%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−38.0% over 16 fills); −$21.9K lifetime P&L, $153.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.