PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pykue

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$15.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…182 open · 64% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$904K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded762Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.8% / $95% interval −235.6% to +208.0%29 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+14.5%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$20K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.3K
Concentration
8.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
259
Showing the largest 8 of 259
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $820 in September?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$215Avg87.6¢Current78¢2,240.01Shares
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$254Avg92.1¢Current75.1¢1,493.46Shares
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
YesValue$706PnL+$9Avg81.4¢Current82.5¢856Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$670PnL+$83Avg56.5¢Current64.5¢1,039Shares
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YesValue$536PnL+$14Avg60.9¢Current62.5¢858Shares
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?
NoValue$520PnL+$45Avg89.2¢Current97.7¢532Shares
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$475PnL+$60Avg85.8¢Current98.2¢484Shares
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?
NoValue$472PnL−$1Avg98.8¢Current98.6¢479Shares
Showing 8 of 259 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pykue: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −13.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −235.6%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+14.5% over 13 fills); −$15.3K lifetime P&L, $904K traded, updated 2026-09-23.