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Trader profile

twinna

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%216 settled · past 180 days12 open · 54% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded238Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.2% / $95% interval −83.3% to +45.0%22 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−16.9%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 216 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$15.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1K
Concentration
31.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$4.8KPnL−$958Avg48.7¢Current40.7¢11,845.98Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$575Avg50¢Current61.5¢5,000Shares
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$717Avg49.5¢Current71.5¢3,261.92Shares
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$13Avg56¢Current55.5¢2,573.18Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$1KPnL−$576Avg64.9¢Current41.9¢2,500Shares
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
YesValue$1KPnL−$16Avg86.8¢Current85.5¢1,213.04Shares
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
NoValue$882PnL+$139Avg61.9¢Current73.5¢1,200Shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$280PnL−$20Avg15¢Current14¢1,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet twinna: 50% win rate over 216 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −19.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −83.3%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−16.9% over 21 fills); +$30.6K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.