PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xa413…6c4a

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$29.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 0% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$622K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded268Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.7% / $95% interval −62.4% to +85.7%71 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+15.7%n=54 settled
Unmapped
−2.4%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 32 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$854
Snapshot cash PnL
−$98.5K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
106
Showing the largest 8 of 106
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
The Otter Side · NoValue$854PnL+$107Avg42¢Current48¢1,779.25Shares
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
XLG Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg64.8¢Current0¢2,160.46Shares
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Nemiga · NoValue$0PnL−$123Avg28¢Current0¢438.89Shares
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
SPARTA · NoValue$0PnL−$660Avg42.9¢Current0¢1,539.19Shares
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1WIN · NoValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg43¢Current0¢5,816.64Shares
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Young27 - Map 1 Winner
WW TeamValue$0PnL−$953Avg57.4¢Current0¢1,660.99Shares
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Young27 (+1.5)
WW TeamValue$0PnL−$256Avg77¢Current0¢331.83Shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 Winner
Astralis · YesValue$0PnL−$876Avg49.6¢Current0¢1,765.31Shares
Showing 8 of 106 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xa4131264e0cfa60b1e8d994551d29ee5f9806c4a: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +11.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −62.4%, n=71 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+15.7% over 54 fills); +$29.7K lifetime P&L, $622K traded, updated 2026-09-23.