PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

charliealmanack

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$172.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…18 open · 35% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded193Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.5% / $95% interval −38.7% to +15.7%18 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.5%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$167.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$47.5K
Concentration
80%
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NoValue$134.1KPnL+$18.2KAvg82.8¢Current95.8¢139,932.5Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$10.8KPnL−$5.8KAvg24.1¢Current15.7¢68,988.16Shares
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$7KPnL+$46Avg99.2¢Current99.9¢7,000Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
NoValue$5KPnL+$163Avg96.4¢Current99.7¢5,000Shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$96Avg95.2¢Current98.3¢3,160.46Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL−$2.9KAvg10¢Current4.3¢50,000Shares
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$95Avg91.3¢Current97.5¢1,551.39Shares
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$45Avg91.6¢Current94.5¢1,571.43Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet charliealmanack: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.7%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.5% over 18 fills); +$172.7K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-20.