PolyTrace
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Trader profile

alpha-bonds

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet12 open · 49% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$237.3K376 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded217Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.2% / $95% interval −335.0% to +343.5%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+8.0%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$4.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$240
Concentration
22.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$24Avg85.5¢Current87.5¢1,204.92Shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$775PnL−$225Avg12.3¢Current9.6¢8,115.27Shares
Tropical Storm Polo strengthens to a hurricane?
YesValue$498PnL−$2Avg97.9¢Current97.6¢510.57Shares
Will Volker Bajus win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
NoValue$438PnL−$5Avg96.9¢Current95.9¢456.95Shares
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
YesValue$409PnL+$7Avg93¢Current94.6¢432.14Shares
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?
YesValue$360PnL+$10Avg95.9¢Current98.6¢364.99Shares
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$325PnL+$225Avg2.1¢Current6.8¢4,808.91Shares
Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
YesValue$305PnL+$5Avg96.3¢Current97.9¢311.59Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet alpha-bonds: edge +4.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −335.0%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.0% over 13 fills); +$4.7K lifetime P&L, $237.3K traded, updated 2026-09-22.