PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xa313…eb44

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$661Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…17 open · 55% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded931Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.5% / $95% interval −252.9% to +215.9%44 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−22.6%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$15.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$336
Concentration
36.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$5.6KPnL+$604Avg86¢Current96.5¢5,808.91Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$6Avg48.3¢Current48.5¢3,271.29Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$459Avg66.2¢Current93.3¢1,690.2Shares
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
NoValue$968PnL−$23Avg46.1¢Current45¢2,150Shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$942PnL−$541Avg66¢Current41.9¢2,245.35Shares
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
NoValue$862PnL+$142Avg70.2¢Current84¢1,025.98Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
NoValue$846PnL+$108Avg72¢Current82.5¢1,025Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$827PnL+$90Avg70¢Current78.5¢1,054Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xa3130d44c968374e9fcb0f0b20f4dbf0dad9eb44: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −18.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −252.9%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−22.6% over 35 fills); +$661 lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.