PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SAPolitcsSeer

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$61.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate96.3%27 settled · past 90 days16 open · 1% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M878 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded90Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.0% / $95% interval −10.6% to +8.7%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+2.7%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 96.3% · Decided 27 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$202K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$8.2K
Concentration
28.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$56.8KPnL+$5.7KAvg83.2¢Current92.5¢61,396.95Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$39.5KPnL+$238Avg98.8¢Current99.4¢39,740.48Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$25.1KPnL+$3.2KAvg83.3¢Current95.4¢26,328.74Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$24.9KPnL+$308Avg98.2¢Current99.5¢25,000Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$15Avg99.1¢Current99.3¢9,865.71Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$9KPnL+$660Avg86.9¢Current93.8¢9,615.07Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$8.5KPnL+$400Avg81¢Current85¢10,000Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$7KPnL−$47Avg75¢Current74.5¢9,340Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SAPolitcsSeer: 96.3% win rate over 27 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.6%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+2.7% over 19 fills); +$61.3K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.