PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xa2dc…49f9

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$75KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate63.6%33 settled · past 90 days4 open · 87% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded52Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.5% / $95% interval −80.9% to +109.9%72 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+16.3%n=52 settled
Sports
+7.5%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 63.6% · Decided 33 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$11.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$25.3K
Concentration
98.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$11.7KPnL−$188Avg59.1¢Current58.2¢20,100Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$161PnL+$31Avg31¢Current38.4¢419.64Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$53PnL−$26Avg6.8¢Current4.6¢1,149.99Shares
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
YesValue$7PnL+$0.47Avg77¢Current82.5¢8.47Shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$6KAvg8.6¢Current0¢69,999.96Shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$31Avg2¢Current0¢1,549.61Shares
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg53.6¢Current0¢2,001.31Shares
Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?
YesValue$0PnL−$7.4KAvg72.9¢Current0¢10,200Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xa2dccd83971d56fb4e7ce45c491a968b29a249f9: 63.6% win rate over 33 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +14.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −80.9%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+16.3% over 52 fills); +$75K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.