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Trader profile

tony396264

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$17.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 6 days ago
Lifetime volume$493.7K479 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.5% / $95% interval −172.2% to +161.1%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.5%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks · NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg42¢Current0¢75.9Shares
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)
Dallas Wings · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg49.2¢Current0¢2,589.39Shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg30.9¢Current0¢323.3Shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
MOUZ · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg12.5¢Current0¢16.03Shares
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
PuckChamp · NoValue$0PnL−$388Avg41.3¢Current0¢938.27Shares
Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
Midas Club · YesValue$0PnL−$274Avg44¢Current0¢622.73Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$799Avg74.8¢Current0¢1,068.53Shares
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
PuckChamp · NoValue$0PnL−$261Avg59.1¢Current0¢441.52Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tony396264: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −5.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −172.2%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.5% over 12 fills); −$17.9K lifetime P&L, $493.7K traded, updated 2026-09-20.