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Trader profile

JosephIsGreat

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$805Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet8 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded255Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.9% / $95% interval −395.1% to +387.3%14 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+7.2%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$8
Snapshot cash PnL
−$67
Concentration
46.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026?
YesValue$4PnL−$1Avg15¢Current11.5¢31.76Shares
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$0.85Avg1.9¢Current1.2¢120.81Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$2Avg2.9¢Current0.9¢121.19Shares
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.71PnL−$3Avg2.5¢Current0.5¢129.9Shares
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YesValue$0.40PnL−$10Avg12.5¢Current0.5¢80Shares
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YesValue$0.32PnL−$9Avg7¢Current0.3¢129.41Shares
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YesValue$0.30PnL−$42Avg14¢Current0.1¢300Shares
Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$0.04PnL−$0.14Avg0.5¢Current0.1¢35Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JosephIsGreat: edge −3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −395.1%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+7.2% over 11 fills); +$805 lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.