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Trader profile

abidal

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.8%44 settled · past 180 days14 open · 38% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$142.6K292 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded169Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.8% · Decided 44 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.4K
Concentration
32.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
28
Showing the largest 8 of 28
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$612PnL+$12Avg93.7¢Current95.5¢640.61Shares
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
NoValue$512PnL+$12Avg96.8¢Current99.3¢516.27Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$111PnL+$11Avg83¢Current92.5¢120.48Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$109PnL+$9Avg79¢Current86.5¢126.58Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$106PnL+$6Avg87¢Current92.5¢114.94Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$104PnL+$4Avg94¢Current97.7¢106.38Shares
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NoValue$103PnL+$3Avg89.1¢Current92¢112.23Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$76PnL−$24Avg27¢Current20.5¢370.37Shares
Showing 8 of 28 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet abidal: 81.8% win rate over 44 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$1.4K lifetime P&L, $142.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.