PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xa0f2…1848

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.4%5,603 settled · past 90 days234 open · 82% underwater · 14 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$51.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded547Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.1% / $95% interval −41.8% to −2.4%4,777 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−21.9%n=4,764 settled
Finance
−44.4%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.4% · Decided 5,603 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete14 minutes ago
Current position value
$321K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$77.9K
Concentration
6.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
248
Showing the largest 8 of 248
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$20.4KPnL−$3.8KAvg14.8¢Current12.5¢162,920.93Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$20.2KPnL+$2.4KAvg18.1¢Current20.7¢97,731.7Shares
US recession by end of 2026?
YesValue$19KPnL−$21.6KAvg16¢Current7.5¢253,832.65Shares
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$16.3KPnL+$4.4KAvg5.7¢Current7.8¢208,425.12Shares
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$12.7KPnL−$2KAvg12.9¢Current11.2¢113,524.05Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$9.5KPnL−$11.7KAvg16.7¢Current7.5¢127,231.1Shares
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$9.1KPnL+$993Avg10.3¢Current11.5¢79,500.98Shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$7.5KPnL−$1.7KAvg41¢Current33.5¢22,470.3Shares
Showing 8 of 248 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xa0f21e6d351baa9185716b5c00c2925ed9621848: 44.4% win rate over 5,603 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.8%, n=4,777 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.9% over 4,764 fills); −$3.1M lifetime P&L, $51.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.