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Trader profile

kukubaja

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$52.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.9%558 settled · past 180 days24 open · 30% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded298Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.7% / $95% interval −70.4% to +71.7%155 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.7%n=80 settled
Crypto
+2.3%n=22 settled
Politics
−5.3%n=26 settled
Finance
−9.1%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.9% · Decided 558 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$21.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$794
Concentration
30.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$6.6KPnL+$97Avg97.5¢Current99¢6,625.63Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$1.3KAvg50.7¢Current67.5¢8,000.5Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$49Avg94.5¢Current97.1¢1,969.49Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$475Avg41¢Current31.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$976PnL+$20Avg71¢Current72.5¢1,346.3Shares
Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
NoValue$682PnL$0Avg99.6¢Current99.6¢685.07Shares
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
NoValue$644PnL+$3Avg99.4¢Current99.9¢644.54Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
YesValue$612PnL−$147Avg63.2¢Current51¢1,200Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kukubaja: 71.9% win rate over 558 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +0.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −70.4%, n=155 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.7% over 80 fills); +$52.4K lifetime P&L, $6.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.