PolyTrace
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Trader profile

bands1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$313KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.8%310 settled · past 90 days9 open · 0% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded279Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.8% / $95% interval −9.0% to +24.6%650 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+8.1%n=628 settled
Unmapped
−1.1%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.8% · Decided 310 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$59.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.7K
Concentration
39.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Florida · NoValue$23.4KPnL+$200Avg58¢Current58.5¢40,000Shares
Falcons · NoValue$18.5KPnL+$837Avg53¢Current55.5¢33,248.23Shares
Under · NoValue$6.8KPnL+$302Avg54¢Current56.5¢12,084.42Shares
Falcons · YesValue$5.9KPnL+$100Avg29¢Current29.5¢20,000Shares
Under · NoValue$2.7KPnL+$177Avg49¢Current52.5¢5,059.21Shares
Raiders · YesValue$1.4KPnL+$18Avg38¢Current38.5¢3,668.25Shares
YesValue$227PnL+$45AvgCurrent7.5¢3,022.6Shares
Jaguars · NoValue$150PnL+$1Avg59¢Current59.5¢252.41Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bands1: 56.8% win rate over 310 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.0%, n=650 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.1% over 628 fills); −$313K lifetime P&L, $18.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.