Trader profile

Toothemoon-wink

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-21

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate59.2%98 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$304.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded395Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.2% · Decided 98 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $0
Snapshot cash PnL: −$3.1K
Concentration: —
Positions: 29

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

NoValue$0PnL−$55Avg52.7¢Current0¢104.38Shares

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg40.8¢Current0¢73.55Shares

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$140Avg52.9¢Current0¢264.59Shares

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

YesValue$0PnL−$40Avg65.3¢Current0¢61.26Shares

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg61.1¢Current0¢29.09Shares

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg34¢Current0¢5.88Shares

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg4.7¢Current0¢107.44Shares

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" this week? (January 25)

NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg66¢Current0¢15.15Shares

Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet Toothemoon-wink: 59.2% win rate over 98 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$2.8K lifetime P&L, $304.6K traded, updated 2026-09-21.