PolyTrace
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Trader profile

confirmit

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$137Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet9 open · 100% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$7.3K10 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded9Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$100
Snapshot cash PnL
−$139
Concentration
31.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NoValue$32PnL−$16Avg6.6¢Current4.4¢725Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$20PnL−$30Avg5.1¢Current2.1¢969.29Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YesValue$18PnL−$32Avg13.6¢Current5¢367.5Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$9PnL−$41Avg3.1¢Current0.5¢1,623.76Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YesValue$6PnL−$4Avg4.9¢Current2.9¢203.8Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$6PnL−$4Avg0.5¢Current0.3¢2,219.8Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$6PnL−$4Avg1.1¢Current0.6¢918.25Shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YesValue$3PnL−$7Avg5¢Current1.7¢200Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet confirmit: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$137 lifetime P&L, $7.3K traded, updated 2026-09-21.