PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Naropoly

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76.5%149 settled · past 90 days22 open · 58% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded951Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.1% / $95% interval −10.3% to +4.0%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+1.1%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76.5% · Decided 149 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$43.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.8K
Concentration
57.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$24.9KPnL−$83Avg97.6¢Current97.3¢25,551.78Shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$210Avg93.6¢Current97.8¢4,999.97Shares
Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$18Avg98.3¢Current98.8¢3,783.33Shares
Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$30Avg98.4¢Current99.6¢2,442.62Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$142Avg87.1¢Current93.5¢2,220Shares
Will Armenia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$0.11Avg98.2¢Current98.2¢1,659.42Shares
Will Ukraine win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$3Avg99.7¢Current100¢1,200Shares
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$521PnL−$356Avg74.9¢Current44.5¢1,170.47Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Naropoly: 76.5% win rate over 149 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.3%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+1.1% over 21 fills); +$25.7K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.