PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

MrMelonHead

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.1%1,769 settled · past 180 days40 open · 21% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,390Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−34.3% / $95% interval −566.0% to +497.3%13 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.1% · Decided 1,769 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$14.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.5K
Concentration
11.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
40
Showing the largest 8 of 40
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$277Avg55.3¢Current66¢2,594.47Shares
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$390Avg31.2¢Current43¢3,300.18Shares
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$46Avg89.5¢Current93.4¢1,175.11Shares
NoValue$1KPnL+$209Avg49.5¢Current62.5¢1,609.96Shares
NoValue$849PnL+$125Avg79.3¢Current93¢912.82Shares
NoValue$727PnL+$107Avg74.2¢Current87¢835.16Shares
NoValue$519PnL+$129Avg73.5¢Current97.9¢529.78Shares
NoValue$493PnL+$57Avg76.1¢Current86¢573.74Shares
Showing 8 of 40 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MrMelonHead: 61.1% win rate over 1,769 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −34.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −566.0%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days); +$2.3K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.