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Trader profile

hedgevaultmainnet1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$131.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%1,705 settled · past 90 days64 open · 79% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,062Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.1% / $95% interval −58.6% to +68.8%345 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.4%n=344 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 1,705 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$10.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$633.6K
Concentration
20.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
877
Showing the largest 8 of 877
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$11Avg94¢Current94.5¢2,269.29Shares
NoValue$953PnL+$83Avg87¢Current95.3¢1,000Shares
Over · YesValue$882PnL−$78Avg43¢Current39.5¢2,233.78Shares
NoValue$695PnL−$12Avg88¢Current86.5¢803.9Shares
NoValue$673PnL+$38Avg64.2¢Current68¢989.47Shares
NoValue$643PnL−$104Avg68.5¢Current59¢1,089.46Shares
NoValue$590PnL−$133Avg75.4¢Current61.5¢958.84Shares
YesValue$573PnL−$2Avg96.1¢Current95.9¢597.55Shares
Showing 8 of 877 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hedgevaultmainnet1: 51.5% win rate over 1,705 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +5.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.6%, n=345 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.4% over 344 fills); −$131.2K lifetime P&L, $7.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.