PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x9f15…bdb3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$297.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.8%7,354 settled · past 90 days33 open · 62% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,721Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.1% / $95% interval −6.5% to +12.8%643 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.4%n=594 settled
Unmapped
0.0%n=49 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.8% · Decided 7,354 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$16.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.1M
Concentration
16.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
3,040
Showing the largest 8 of 3,040
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
1st Half Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 D.C. United SC?
NoValue$2.8KPnL−$2KAvg93.4¢Current54.5¢5,185.79Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
Over · YesValue$2.7KPnL−$243Avg48.5¢Current44.5¢6,057.14Shares
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp · NoValue$2.4KPnL+$937Avg47.2¢Current76.5¢3,196.24Shares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$1.7KPnL+$925Avg28.4¢Current60.5¢2,879.93Shares
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz
KT Wiz · NoValue$1.7KPnL+$346Avg40.9¢Current51.5¢3,256.97Shares
1st Half Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 D.C. United SC?
NoValue$949PnL−$680Avg95¢Current55.4¢1,713.92Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
Under · NoValue$797PnL−$766Avg50¢Current25.5¢3,124.51Shares
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-4.5) vs Alexander Shevchenko (+4.5)
Hubert Hurkacz · YesValue$656PnL+$22Avg43¢Current44.5¢1,473.16Shares
Showing 8 of 3,040 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3: 49.8% win rate over 7,354 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.5%, n=643 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.4% over 594 fills); +$297.2K lifetime P&L, $14.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.