PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

zxdw

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate79.2%24 settled · past 90 days9 open · 33% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M781 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded39Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.6% / $95% interval −251.2% to +227.9%46 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−9.2%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.2% · Decided 24 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$203.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$4.1K
Concentration
46.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
NoValue$94.7KPnL+$3.8KAvg95.3¢Current99.3¢95,370.13Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?
NoValue$42.8KPnL+$903Avg96.6¢Current98.7¢43,327.67Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
NoValue$21KPnL+$330Avg95¢Current96.5¢21,777.44Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$15.9KPnL+$5.9KAvg50¢Current79.4¢20,000Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
NoValue$10.3KPnL+$254Avg97.2¢Current99.7¢10,366.1Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$8.6KPnL+$225Avg96.9¢Current99.6¢8,635.67Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
NoValue$5.7KPnL+$368Avg92.3¢Current98.7¢5,793.98Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$4.1KPnL−$5.9KAvg50¢Current20.7¢20,000Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet zxdw: 79.2% win rate over 24 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −251.2%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−9.2% over 41 fills); +$5.7K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.