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Trader profile

cosmicxbt

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$110.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateOnly 17 settled so far2 open · 72% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M438 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded19Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.8% / $95% interval −32.3% to +6.8%44 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−3.2%n=11 settled
Sports
−13.9%n=33 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$115.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$129.3K
Concentration
94.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
4
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$109.8KPnL−$4.3KAvg57.5¢Current55.4¢198,334.83Shares
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$1.7KAvg63¢Current86.5¢7,103.5Shares
Carlos Alcaraz · NoValue$0PnL−$6.7KAvg60¢Current11,164.18Shares
BroncosValue$0PnL−$120KAvg60¢Current200,000Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cosmicxbt: edge −12.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.3%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−3.2% over 11 fills); +$110.3K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.