PolyTrace
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Trader profile

DOWNbet

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate100%97 settled · past 90 days8 open · 64% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded775Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.2% / $95% interval −434.9% to +400.4%57 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−17.2%n=57 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 100% · Decided 97 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$25.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$51
Concentration
36.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$9.2KPnL−$116Avg97.1¢Current95.9¢9,593.96Shares
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$12Avg98¢Current98.1¢8,553.44Shares
YesValue$4.8KPnL+$3Avg99.5¢Current99.6¢4,816.8Shares
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$40Avg95.3¢Current97.2¢2,122.08Shares
NoValue$649PnL+$9Avg98.5¢Current99.9¢650Shares
NoValue$172PnL+$2Avg97.3¢Current98.5¢174.58Shares
NoValue$103PnL−$0.16Avg98¢Current97.9¢105.37Shares
NoValue$48PnL+$0.42Avg96.1¢Current97¢49.55Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DOWNbet: 100% win rate over 97 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −434.9%, n=57 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−17.2% over 57 fills); +$7.7K lifetime P&L, $4.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.