PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Moond

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$155.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.2%103 settled · past 90 days15 open · 20% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded807Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.5% / $95% interval −26.7% to +7.7%45 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+7.2%n=17 settled
Finance
−9.3%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.2% · Decided 103 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$91.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$39K
Concentration
16.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$15.3KPnL+$345Avg50¢Current51.2¢30,000Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$14.7KPnL−$345Avg50¢Current48.9¢30,000Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$12.8KPnL+$834Avg91¢Current97.3¢13,147.76Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$9.1KPnL+$664Avg85.8¢Current92.5¢9,884.39Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$998Avg84.9¢Current97.4¢8,000Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$7.4KPnL+$560Avg85.5¢Current92.5¢7,999.96Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$7.3KPnL+$1.4KAvg68.2¢Current85¢8,627.84Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$7KPnL+$986Avg73.5¢Current85.5¢8,245.28Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Moond: 61.2% win rate over 103 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.7%, n=45 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+7.2% over 17 fills); +$155.5K lifetime P&L, $6.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.