PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

OkieDokiePeon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.3%1,110 settled · past 180 days49 open · 39% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded371Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.9% / $95% interval −372.7% to +316.8%28 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−22.5%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.3% · Decided 1,110 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$32.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.7K
Concentration
27.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
132
Showing the largest 8 of 132
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YesValue$8.7KPnL+$241Avg95.1¢Current97.8¢8,931.15Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$4.2KPnL−$207Avg75¢Current71.5¢5,874.35Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$180Avg94¢Current99.2¢3,470.23Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.5KPnL+$272Avg52.6¢Current59¢4,260.62Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$112Avg58.2¢Current61¢3,981.17Shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
NoValue$2KPnL+$122Avg90.5¢Current96.4¢2,069.02Shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.8KPnL−$14Avg44.3¢Current44¢4,027.19Shares
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$185Avg62.4¢Current56¢2,874.87Shares
Showing 8 of 132 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet OkieDokiePeon: 43.3% win rate over 1,110 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −27.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −372.7%, n=28 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−22.5% over 25 fills); +$23.4K lifetime P&L, $9.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.