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Trader profile

ImJustKen

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.2%438 settled · past 90 days421 open · 55% underwater · 19 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$496.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded218Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.8% / $95% interval −43.9% to +59.4%446 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+10.9%n=195 settled
Culture
+7.8%n=40 settled
Politics
+7.1%n=199 settled
Sports
−28.7%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.2% · Decided 438 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete19 minutes ago
Current position value
$802.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8M
Concentration
15.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,007
Showing the largest 8 of 1,007
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$127.9KPnL+$6.4KAvg82.2¢Current86.5¢147,860.92Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$107.3KPnL+$21.1KAvg72.7¢Current90.5¢118,516.52Shares
No one announced as next James Bond?
NoValue$62.4KPnL+$573Avg76.4¢Current77.1¢80,954.16Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$22.1KPnL−$388Avg90.1¢Current88.6¢25,000Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$19.4KPnL−$20.3KAvg12.8¢Current6.3¢310,495.81Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$19.3KPnL+$17.6KAvg5.2¢Current59.5¢32,425.57Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$18.2KPnL+$6.6KAvg3.9¢Current6.2¢296,645.69Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$17.8KPnL−$14.1KAvg61.8¢Current34.5¢51,609.22Shares
Showing 8 of 1,007 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ImJustKen: 43.2% win rate over 438 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −43.9%, n=446 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+10.9% over 195 fills); +$2.3M lifetime P&L, $496.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.