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Trader profile

Sebaschaps

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.8%105 settled · past 180 days7 open · 100% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$998.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded315Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.8% · Decided 105 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.6K
Concentration
39.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$763PnL−$766Avg10.9¢Current5.5¢13,999.99Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$428PnL−$1.1KAvg13.4¢Current3.7¢11,723.71Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$308PnL−$377Avg21.1¢Current9.5¢3,246.83Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$257PnL−$613Avg22¢Current6.5¢3,957.95Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$100PnL−$252Avg8.6¢Current2.5¢4,099.88Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$68PnL−$194Avg10.6¢Current2.8¢2,456.07Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$4PnL−$3Avg23.4¢Current13.5¢28.15Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg60¢Current0¢100Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sebaschaps: 43.8% win rate over 105 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$2.1K lifetime P&L, $998.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.