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Trader profile

JoeBlack01

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$98.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.9%158 settled · past 90 days48 open · 40% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded326Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.6% / $95% interval −255.9% to +244.7%39 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−7.3%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.9% · Decided 158 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$119.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$101.4K
Concentration
23.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
153
Showing the largest 8 of 153
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$27.7KPnL+$7.8KAvg50.7¢Current70.5¢39,297.01Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$14.8KPnL+$856Avg78.7¢Current83.5¢17,738.55Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$780Avg88.8¢Current97.9¢8,575.99Shares
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$1.5KAvg58.4¢Current86.5¢5,245.63Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$1.7KAvg52.1¢Current85.5¢5,207.92Shares
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$59Avg66.6¢Current67.5¢6,540.71Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$280Avg78.2¢Current73.5¢6,000Shares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$4.3KPnL+$496Avg77.7¢Current87.8¢4,914.45Shares
Showing 8 of 153 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JoeBlack01: 58.9% win rate over 158 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −255.9%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−7.3% over 32 fills); +$98.3K lifetime P&L, $9.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.