PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

HUB-1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$196KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate20.7%2,402 settled · past 90 days3 open · 0% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,338Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+25.3% / $95% interval −56.8% to +107.4%273 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+29.7%n=256 settled
Unmapped
−24.4%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 25 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 20.7% · Decided 2,402 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$637
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.7K
Concentration
53.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
366
Showing the largest 8 of 366
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$342PnL+$308AvgCurrent51¢670Shares
NoValue$184PnL+$169AvgCurrent51¢360Shares
NoValue$112PnL+$103AvgCurrent50.9¢220Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$2AvgCurrent28Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$21AvgCurrent350Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$28AvgCurrent352.25Shares
Showing 8 of 366 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HUB-1: 20.7% win rate over 2,402 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +25.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −56.8%, n=273 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+29.7% over 256 fills); −$196K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.