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Trader profile

beargrylls

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$20.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31%42 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$124.1K240 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded42Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−34.6% / $95% interval −62.8% to −6.3%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−34.6%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31% · Decided 42 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37.9K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$893Avg47¢Current1,900Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg47.6¢Current4,405Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg47¢Current2,600Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg47.5¢Current2,517.13Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg50¢Current3,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg43.5¢Current6,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$343Avg49¢Current699.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg44.4¢Current2,500Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet beargrylls: 31% win rate over 42 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −34.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −62.8%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−34.6% over 25 fills); −$20.8K lifetime P&L, $124.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.