PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tedm

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet1 open · 0% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$352.8K844 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded263Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.1% / $95% interval −623.9% to +583.6%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.1%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$58.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
150
Showing the largest 8 of 150
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Cake Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winner
Cake Team · YesValue$1KPnL+$648Avg36¢Current100¢1,013.33Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$534Avg31.7¢Current0¢1,683.56Shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner
InfiniteValue$0PnL−$116Avg29¢Current0¢400Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg34.9¢Current0¢573.45Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
G2Value$0PnL−$391Avg49¢Current0¢798.35Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner
G2 · YesValue$0PnL−$225Avg38¢Current0¢591.49Shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Vici GamingValue$0PnL−$721Avg41.3¢Current0¢1,747.69Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$75Avg50.8¢Current0¢147.66Shares
Showing 8 of 150 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tedm: edge −20.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −623.9%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.1% over 17 fills); −$9.2K lifetime P&L, $352.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.