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Trader profile

tinman2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$17.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.7%526 settled · past 180 days305 open · 82% underwater · 25 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,607Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.7% · Decided 526 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete25 minutes ago
Current position value
$25K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.7K
Concentration
13.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
465
Showing the largest 8 of 465
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.5KPnL−$314Avg84.5¢Current77.5¢4,483.54Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$7Avg71¢Current71.5¢1,458.31Shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
NoValue$941PnL+$343Avg60.9¢Current95.8¢982.62Shares
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
NoValue$905PnL+$320Avg58.5¢Current90.5¢1,000Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$899PnL+$153Avg71.7¢Current86.5¢1,040Shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
YesValue$865PnL+$208Avg65.7¢Current86.5¢1,000Shares
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
NoValue$801PnL+$28Avg75.8¢Current78.6¢1,020Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$710PnL+$15Avg69¢Current70.5¢1,007.34Shares
Showing 8 of 465 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tinman2: 62.7% win rate over 526 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$17.4K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.