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Trader profile

Sylar012

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price20 open · 95% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,197Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.5% / $95% interval −21.2% to +20.2%129 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+0.2%n=124 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$30.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$349
Concentration
20.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23?
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$4Avg99.9¢Current100¢6,377.76Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 22?
YesValue$6.2KPnL+$6Avg99.9¢Current100¢6,246.48Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 22?
NoValue$4.3KPnL+$2Avg99.9¢Current100¢4,315.22Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 22?
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$2Avg99.9¢Current100¢4,100Shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$0.76Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,527.3Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$0.68Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,355.25Shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 23?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$0.60Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,200Shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$0.95Avg99.8¢Current99.9¢1,186.8Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sylar012: edge −0.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −21.2%, n=129 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+0.2% over 124 fills); +$3.1K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.