PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Sociopathy

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$55.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 12 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,576Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−39.3% / $95% interval −138.6% to +60.0%69 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−28.9%n=55 settled
Crypto
−44.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.7K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$465Avg26¢Current1,787.35Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg25.5¢Current978.57Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$90Avg19.6¢Current458.02Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL$0AvgCurrent141Shares
Hubert Hurkacz · NoValue$0PnL−$252Avg34.9¢Current722.28Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$189Avg22.8¢Current829.17Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg15¢Current66.67Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg27.3¢Current366.86Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sociopathy: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −39.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −138.6%, n=69 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−28.9% over 55 fills); −$55.2K lifetime P&L, $4.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.