PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Irboz-sama

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.1%175 settled · past 180 days18 open · 27% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$24.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded84Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.9% / $95% interval −516.9% to +497.0%14 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−9.9%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.1% · Decided 175 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$6.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$211
Concentration
32.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$2KPnL+$187Avg86.8¢Current95.8¢2,085Shares
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$33Avg98.1¢Current99.8¢1,933.55Shares
NoValue$983PnL+$29Avg95.4¢Current98.3¢1,000Shares
NoValue$473PnL+$23Avg90¢Current94.5¢500Shares
NoValue$437PnL+$57Avg83¢Current95.4¢457.98Shares
YesValue$45PnL+$5AvgCurrent4.5¢1,000Shares
NoValue$40PnL+$15Avg50¢Current79.4¢50Shares
YesValue$28PnL+$2Avg88¢Current93.5¢30Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Irboz-sama: 73.1% win rate over 175 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −516.9%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−9.9% over 14 fills); +$6.7K lifetime P&L, $24.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.