PolyTrace
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Trader profile

The-Joker

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$139.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.7%541 settled · past 90 days36 open · 30% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,647Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+17.2% / $95% interval −63.4% to +97.7%295 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+31.5%n=89 settled
Finance
+12.7%n=13 settled
Politics
+11.8%n=92 settled
Unmapped
+7.4%n=34 settled
Tech
+6.4%n=29 settled
Sports
−2.3%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.7% · Decided 541 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$75.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.5K
Concentration
26%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$19.7KPnL+$2.3KAvg87¢Current98.6¢20,008.32Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$8.9KPnL+$203Avg64¢Current65.5¢13,513.64Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
YesValue$6.5KPnL+$2.2KAvg64.6¢Current98.1¢6,584.38Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
NoValue$5.7KPnL+$190Avg73¢Current75.5¢7,583.23Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$49Avg98.1¢Current99.1¢4,928.01Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$432Avg78¢Current88.8¢4,000Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$2.6KPnL+$1.2KAvg30.1¢Current57.1¢4,604.22Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$344Avg72.2¢Current88.5¢2,109.57Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet The-Joker: 66.7% win rate over 541 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −63.4%, n=295 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+31.5% over 89 fills); +$139.8K lifetime P&L, $7.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.