PolyTrace
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Trader profile

POLO

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$8.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…39 open · 90% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$544.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded238Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+111.1% / $95% interval −23.1% to +245.3%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$19.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$44.6K
Concentration
13.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
82
Showing the largest 8 of 82
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$234Avg89.6¢Current98.1¢2,745.87Shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$24Avg86.7¢Current87.5¢2,976.22Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$310Avg85.9¢Current98.3¢2,507.04Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$2.4KAvg57.6¢Current23¢7,000Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$4.4KAvg65.4¢Current14.5¢8,563.6Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$161Avg82.2¢Current94.5¢1,300Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$493Avg46.6¢Current32.5¢3,500Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL−$663Avg35.6¢Current21.5¢4,699.98Shares
Showing 8 of 82 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet POLO: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +111.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −23.1%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); −$8.9K lifetime P&L, $544.4K traded, updated 2026-09-22.