PolyTrace
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Trader profile

fullamount

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32.1%53 settled · past 180 days7 open · 49% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M183 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded82Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.0% / $95% interval −135.4% to +147.4%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.0%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32.1% · Decided 53 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$5.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57.2K
Concentration
27%
Largest share of value
Positions
52
Showing the largest 8 of 52
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$50Avg14¢Current14.5¢9,999.98Shares
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$9Avg5.2¢Current5.1¢26,891.83Shares
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$346Avg10¢Current13.5¢9,877.81Shares
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$510PnL−$350Avg43¢Current25.5¢1,999.99Shares
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$420PnL+$32Avg6¢Current6.5¢6,467.06Shares
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$269PnL−$54Avg9¢Current7.5¢3,585.65Shares
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
YesValue$4PnL−$0.34Avg10.4¢Current9.5¢37.52Shares
Spread: Spain (-4.5)
Spain · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg4.7¢Current0¢2,121.35Shares
Showing 8 of 52 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet fullamount: 32.1% win rate over 53 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −135.4%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.0% over 16 fills); −$1K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.