PolyTrace
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Trader profile

rafb

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$224Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet94 open · 50% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$57.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded495Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$3.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8K
Concentration
11.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
107
Showing the largest 8 of 107
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
NoValue$417PnL+$19Avg92.2¢Current96.6¢431.35Shares
Trump out as President by September 30?
NoValue$360PnL+$0.69Avg99.4¢Current99.6¢361.85Shares
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
YesValue$219PnL−$35Avg96.4¢Current83.2¢263.05Shares
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
YesValue$185PnL−$2Avg84.4¢Current83.5¢221.64Shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
NoValue$112PnL+$0.15Avg98.7¢Current98.8¢113.82Shares
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
NoValue$108PnL+$0.57Avg94¢Current94.5¢114.78Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$108PnL+$1Avg98.3¢Current99.6¢108.92Shares
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$105PnL−$0.56Avg94¢Current93.5¢112.47Shares
Showing 8 of 107 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rafb: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$224 lifetime P&L, $57.1K traded, updated 2026-09-22.