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Trader profile

duckfriedrice

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$56.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded184Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+13.2% / $95% interval −10.8% to +37.3%32 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.2%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$932.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers · YesValue$0PnL−$13.8KAvg45¢Current0¢30,581.14Shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$0PnL−$17.3KAvg52¢Current0¢33,333Shares
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals · NoValue$0PnL−$11.8KAvg50¢Current0¢23,571.98Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg48¢Current0¢2,645.86Shares
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves
Detroit Tigers · YesValue$0PnL−$50.7KAvg57¢Current0¢88,888Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers · NoValue$0PnL−$35.6KAvg64¢Current0¢55,555Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays · YesValue$0PnL−$36KAvg54¢Current0¢66,667Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins · NoValue$0PnL−$18.3KAvg55¢Current0¢33,333Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet duckfriedrice: edge +13.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.8%, n=32 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.2% over 32 fills); +$56.3K lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-19.