PolyTrace
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Trader profile

strider-

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.4%95 settled · past 180 days5 open · 0% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded107Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.8% / $95% interval −348.4% to +306.8%36 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−11.6%n=18 settled
Politics
−15.5%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.4% · Decided 95 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$53.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.9K
Concentration
39.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$21.2KPnL+$2.2KAvg85.4¢Current95.3¢22,286.36Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$12.5KPnL+$744Avg87¢Current92.5¢13,527.6Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$9.5KPnL+$210Avg93.3¢Current95.4¢10,000Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NoValue$9KPnL+$635Avg89.9¢Current96.7¢9,324.47Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$236Avg52¢Current65.5¢1,746.55Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
YesValue$0PnL−$146Avg9.7¢Current0¢1,510Shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg47¢Current0¢21.99Shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$145Avg2.9¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet strider-: 68.4% win rate over 95 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −348.4%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−11.6% over 18 fills); +$23.5K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.