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Trader profile

darkumbreon99

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.4%823 settled · past 90 days6 open · 98% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$898.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded954Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.4% / $95% interval −48.2% to +31.5%49 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.0%n=47 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.4% · Decided 823 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$185.5K
Concentration
52.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
349
Showing the largest 8 of 349
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$748PnL−$173Avg59.1¢Current48¢1,559.23Shares
Over · YesValue$256PnL−$16Avg78¢Current73.5¢348.17Shares
YesValue$183PnL+$2Avg59¢Current59.5¢307.43Shares
Dawn Bulls · YesValue$95PnL+$0.96Avg49¢Current49.5¢191.91Shares
NoValue$93PnL+$1Avg72¢Current73¢127.8Shares
Dawn Bulls · NoValue$57PnL−$0.56Avg51¢Current50.5¢112.42Shares
OverValue$0.99PnL+$0.43Avg57¢Current100¢0.99Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$0.44Avg29¢Current1.5Shares
Showing 8 of 349 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet darkumbreon99: 61.4% win rate over 823 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −48.2%, n=49 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.0% over 47 fills); −$3.5K lifetime P&L, $898.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.